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Tips, strategy, and analysis to sharpen your predictions
When a manager is about to be sacked or has announced their departure, the final match in charge often produces a strange result. Here's how to predict it.
The half-time scoreline you see flashed up most often in the Premier League is 0-0, with 1-0 and 1-1 close behind. Here's why and what it means for your predictions.
Sky and TNT subscriptions for pubs cost thousands a year. Add the 3pm blackout and shrinking audiences and you can see why some landlords have quietly walked away.
ScoreBadger is a free prediction game with mates. Tipsters are paid services that sell betting picks. Different products, different goals. Here's the honest comparison.
Stoppage time goals are far more common than they used to be. Roughly one in five Premier League matches has at least one goal scored after the 90-minute mark.
VAR stands for Video Assistant Referee, a team of officials who review match-changing incidents on video and advise the on-pitch ref via audio link.
Predicting whether a knockout tie goes to extra time or penalties is mostly about reading the closeness of the matchup, fitness, and managers' risk appetite.
Premier League half-time breaks are 15 minutes long, set by the Laws of the Game. Here's how that time gets used and why it occasionally runs over.
Premier League average attendance sits around 40,000 a match across recent seasons, with Old Trafford and the Emirates regularly topping the table.
The highest-scoring Premier League match was Portsmouth 7-4 Reading in 2007, with 11 goals total. A handful of other matches have hit 11 goals across the league's history.
Premier League teams can name 9 substitutes and use 5 during a match across 3 windows plus half-time. The five-sub era has reshaped how matches finish.
Premier League teams play 38 matches because there are 20 teams, and each team plays the other 19 twice - once at home and once away. Simple maths, deliberate format.
If two Premier League teams finish on the same points, goal difference decides who finishes higher. Then goals scored. Then head-to-head. Then a play-off if it is the title.
When teams finish level on points, the Premier League uses goal difference, then goals scored, then head-to-head record. If still tied, a play-off decides the title.
March, April and May are when the Premier League stops being predictable. Here is how to read teams when motivation, fixtures and tiredness all collide.
Running a prediction league does not need a kitty, an app subscription, or fancy prize money. Here is how to set one up for nothing.
A manager sacking shifts everything: tactics, motivation, line-ups. Here is how to read the new-manager bounce and pick the next match accurately.
Premier League scoring rates fluctuate season to season. Here is a look at the lowest-scoring seasons and what predictors can take from them.
Red cards happen in roughly 7-9% of Premier League matches. They're more common in derbies, relegation six-pointers, and matches with strict referees. Here is how to spot the high-risk fixtures.
The Big Six is shorthand for the Premier League's six wealthiest, most-supported clubs. Here is who they are and why the label still matters for predictions.
A Premier League season runs roughly nine months across 38 matchdays. Here is what that calendar looks like and why it shapes how you predict.
Must-win fixtures change how teams play. Here is how to read the motivation gap and turn it into sharper predictions.
Roughly a quarter of Premier League matches end level. Knowing when to back a draw separates good predictors from great ones.
Hat-tricks happen in roughly 2-3% of Premier League matches. Here are the conditions that make them more likely, and why they remain almost impossible to predict consistently.
